Earlier an investor understands this better it is in your financial life journey.
What say ?
anything to add ?
Kirtan A Shah
Ashish Singodia
CA Sweety Chaudhary
Avigyan Mitra
Shrey Jain
Priya Krishnamoorthy
Pravin Shetty
Mitul Khemka
Madhur Gundecha CA, CFA
#riskmanagement #financialliteracy #financialfreedom #financialplanning #financialplanner #investingforbeginners #investing #personalfinance #mutualfund #couplegoals
NPS vs OPS may create a problem not only for regulators, but for investors of the same and somehow whatever decision some day it reaches will impact investors retirement corpus.
Currently #PFRDA (nps regulator) and certain state governments (ones which declared Old Pension Scheme (popularly called OPS) as their choice to offer their state role employees under retirement plan and / or fund) are at loggerheads.
State governments which declared OPS to offer their state employees are claiming money back from pfrda and pfrda has declined.
This may reach the Supreme court and Ministry of finance and all retirement fund contributors retirement money is at stake.
Why vote and ask your MP or MLA or MLC questions is important, before deciding whom to choose, is everyones responsibility. (and not someone else's or they)
PFRDA DECLINED money to state government for OPS
#retirementplanning #voters #financialfreedom #financialliteracy #wellness #retirement #supremecourt #corpus #mutualfund #epfo #epf #investing #investingforbeginners #personalfinance #couplegoals #money
Client - I don't understand why you reduced my equity holding @18000 on 12th October, 21 and now you recommend buying around the same @18000 since January, 23 ? Why so?
Myself- Let me explain -
Typically all of us are aware of Market corrections in 'number terms'.
So say in 2020, Nifty fell by 30% is a correction or crash and we all understand this. (as shown in pic.-crash)
What most find it difficult to identify and understand is 'time correction'.
So market has 2 types of corrections -
1- Number corrections
2- Time corrections
Since the majority of us understand 1st - ' Number correction ', I will jump to help you understand the 2nd point - ' time correction ' in simple terms.
Let us take this same headline sample as an example for dates and numbers.
September to December, 21 Nifty 50 index was around 18000 and even today -May, 23 around the same level.
So you may say this is not correction, right in number terms (18000) we are at the same level, but the same level since 1 and half years.
Client - How then, does it mean a correction?
September, 21 Nifty PE (price to earning ratio) was around 27 and currently it is 21.
The run up from April, 2020 to September 21 was so sharp that it was way above it's valuations -had reached PE of 34+ and so either it had to number correct which means fall down, or time correct which it has done (I am no where saying now markets will go up and up only)
This time correction is also called ' consolidation' and in this type it generally remains in a range. (as shown in pic.'
Now the most important question-
Client - So how does this call to reduce in October, 21 and move in since Jan 23 helps?
Myself - We are not GOD to time the market, but If we had remain invested, most likely earned nothing (largecap most likely), rather we reduced equity allocation in October, 21 parked the same in medium term, Long term and some in liquid funds (earning around 7.7%) and since january, 23 moving back slowly to equity.
Most important is during the Nifty downward movements there was absolutely peace of mind and the money was growing safely.
Client - Good you were able to time the market - so why are we now entering slowly, why can't you tell me to enter when the time is right? You are experts in identifying and timing ?
Myself - SURELY NOT, but with 17+ years experience there are higher chances we may be able to safeguard and grow your money rightly with full financial literacy based clarity and aware decisions.
At least this client was convinced fully now aware of types of correction and also about risk averse way of investing, with clarity.
#experience #financialfreedom #financialplanning #financialplanner #mutualfund #investing #investingforbeginners #personalfinance #couplegoals #mutualfunds #linkedin #comment
Our aim is to Spread financial literacy amongst common investors.
You change your advisor or advisory platform?- This could be the reason
Half hearted approach never help fulfill.
1-What is your age?
2-What is your Income range?
3-How many dependents do you have?
4-What is the up and down range you are OK with, in your investments?
5-Is this investment for long term? or, How many years is your holding period with this investment?
Do many risk profiles are judged this way and most advisors and/or advisory platforms have similar kind 3-7 questions to understand investors 'risk profile', which is half hartead and will most likely do more harm then good.
Test if I am right or wrong?
if you are more than 5 year investor, check this and your responses will define if I am right?
1- Have you ever withdrawn investments for some emergency?
2- Have you redeemed investments for life needs?
3- After investing did you find yourself disturbed and you kept checking your investments regularly, or even lost sleep someday?
4- Because of this, have you changed or considering to change your advisor or advisory platform?
If your response to even one is YES, then risk profiler questions or reports are not working and it is because it is not capturing reality and is made half hearted to just take investments.
#investing #investment #financialplanning #financialfreedom #financialliteracy #financialplanner #financialadvisor #mutualfund #bestfinancialplanner #mutualfunds #mutualfundssahihai #personalfinance #comment #linkedin #investments #riskmanagement #risktolerance #riskprofile #riskassessment
People who know me say, you are over protective and think too much on data, too seriously.
What if I say, I read internal reports and so act and make people aware and try and protect them and their private and confidential data?
I had written about this earlier in one of the posts and no one liked.
Few who saw the post did ask me 'why do you write on data privacy and confidentiality, and even at times technology leakages', when you are practice financial planning?
Well, I apply my expertise after collecting data, which for me is very personalized and important in my life, as it is important in my client family's life.
I will keep writing and talking about this.
#dataprivacy #data #financialfreedom #itandsoftware #informationtechnology #financialliteracy #financialplanning #financialplanner #financialadvisor #investing #linkedin #comment #persinalfinance #couplegoals
What has Nature got to do with the stock market or equity share prices? example
Well, let me explain.
Any market is based on 2 basic aspects-
1- Human behavior
2- Liquidity
Let us take this practical latest report as example.
As per latest report, it is expected that this year there are only 25% chances of normal rain, 20% chances of drought and 40% chances of just about less than normal rain (comfortable).
When there is no or less rain or for that matter not well spread rain, the crop expected does not come and because of this the prices of food items rise.
Food is one major component in inflation counting and if food prices rise inflation will rise.
RBI Governer and MPC members know this and hence they are pressing on a statement saying this pause decision is for this meeting and that we are closely watching the situation with accomodative stance. (apart from other events)
If inflation rises, there will be 2 major impact -
1- people will have to pay more for the same food items, hence less liquidity or cash in hand and so demand for necessity will rise and avoidable expenses will be kept aside - like luxury purchases, etc., so slowdown in economy and demand.
2- RBI will have to balance the M3 i.e. liquidity position in the hands of consumers and also may even have to raise interest rate (so pause may stay longer or until May end MET report at least) (of course apart from other factors like US data, geopolilitical situations, war situation and other aspects).
If rain is below normal or as expected 20% drought, and if RBI increases rates
1- FD and new bond issuances come at higher interest rates (possibly good for safe investors, but not good for loan seekers and people who are already paying EMIs as their rates will also increase, again cash flow and less purchasing power)
2- This will negatively impact equity markets, as with cost rising (raw material cost and cost of loans-both), profitability and sales (because of less purchasing power of consumer) and so profitability will be negatively impacted.
There are multiple other aspects, but this is how Nature impacts markets - in this example negatively, but think reverese and the impact in that case turns positive.
This helps?
agree?
#linkedin #comment #financialliteracy #wellness #wellbeing #financialwellness #financialwellbeing #financialfreedom #personalfinance #macro #rbi # #interestrates #equity #debtmutualfunds #mutualfund #investing #personalfinance
image credit - can stock
'Why financial literacy is important for elders?' - shared my detailed views on this topic in an Article published yesterday in Gujaratimidday.com along with and thanks to Priyanka Urvish Acharya
Do read, share this with elders in your known circle and help spread awareness.
Mid-Day Gujarati - Why is Financial Literacy important for elders?
#financialliteracy #financialfreedom #financialplanning #wellness #wellbeing #financialplanner #investing #mutualfund #bestfinancialplanner #persinalfinance #retirementplanning #pensionplanning #seniors #elderlycare
I feel sorry for not being able to spread financial awareness / financial literacy to the extent it is required.
If such big companies have a lack of good advisor/s and such a big switch decision -700 crorers- is not small, I am sure we as a community of 'client centric' financial planners, financial advisors have a long way to go and lot today.
Moving 700 crorers out of Mutual Fund into FDs for a company of this size and growth could have been managed better.
If it is backed with proper understanding and suitability and as a strategic call fine, otherwise it seems to be a decision from past experience and aberration. (atleast that is what it seems from the language)
Maybe the strategy goes wrong or the briefing went wrong.
Why would one otherwise take a call on closing and withdrawing everything from mutual funds? Mutual funds do offer debt products as well and equity is also good to have.
We need to work a lot together.
Kirtan A Shah
Sadique Neelgund 🇮🇳
Priyanka Acharya
Share your thoughts
As investor what are your thoughts and actions?
Ashish Singodia
Prajakta Sarfare
Pravin Shetty
Ruparanjan Mohapatra
Abhishek Ganeriwala
Abhishek Kulkarni
#financialliteracy #wellbeing #financialfreedom #financialplanning #financialplanner #financialadvisor #investing #personalfinance #couplegoals #bestfinancialplanner #financialadviser # #mutualfunds #mutualfund #experience #growth #strategy
From today's RBI Governers speech, one of the highlights is GDP growth projections for FY 23-24
Q1-7.8%
Q2-6.2%
Q3-6.1%
Q4-5.5%
Forget the numbers, my underlining take away is downward and slowing trajectory projection.
Now can you connect why your financial planner / advisor is saying what she/he is saying?
Is this a risk, opportunity, uncertainty or thrill period ?
#riskassessment #financialplanning #financialfreedom #rbipolicy #rbigovernor #rbi #mutualfund #financialliteracy #financialplanner #financialadvisor #investing #personalfinance #gdp #inflation #growth #couplegoals
Image taken from Bloomberg Youtube channel screenshot
Well put Satya Sontanam , but I feel this is blown out of proportion and turning detrimental in investors interest.
If someone is suggesting any investment just from tax saving or advantage point of view , I feel it calls for a rethink on strategy and approach.
1- There is something called "'pass thru' status" which mutual funds enjoy and so there is tax delay opportunity and even management opportunity instead of compulsion to pay tax in interest in FDs one can manage better
2- Do not forget under Deposit insurance the limit is 5 lac and not unlimited, so if the risk is similar category of default, better diversify rather than (how many banks are you comfortable with to put as FDs?)
3- The tax applicability is on withdrawal, so tax management and optimisation is possible
4- FDs do not offer Capital Gain which these categories of debt funds offers.
5- There is reinvestment risk in falling interest rate scenario even if your need is to invest and hold for long. The yield offered today is much better to lock in.
6- there is also set off opportunity available
7- Now it will blow down to how your planner/advisor can understand and manage better
#financialplanning #taxstrategy #financialplanner #financialfreedom #financialadvisor #mutualfund #mutualfunds #opportunity #investment #financebill2023 #debtmutualfunds
LiveMint
Write up on 20th March, 2023.
Observe 2020 Nifty 50 PE on March 24, 2020 and Nifty 50 Index levels chart, and then what happened.
Now the above chart as on 20th Marc, 2023 helps us compare Nifty 50 today and the Nifty 50 PE as well.
If history is to be understood and applied, this reflects Nifty 50 or how it is said "Markets" are neither cheap to jump in, nor too high to not look at it as value buy and it is termed as "fair value", and as we say one cannot time the market nor any levels, the conclusion is to enter with lumsum not more than 25% of the available amount kept aside as entry money or opportunity money with the right and suitable straty in mind and paper.
Disclaimer-
1- This is to share learnings on how valuations are and need to be seen and this is one of the factors and not the only decision maker comparison.
2- First question always to ask is "suitability" or "Made for me strategy"? and then such logic to be seen and applied
3- Here as an example Nifty 50 - largecap Index is considered and similarly there are more indices where valuation benchmarks change and there could be some Index or co. in Market that is steal buy, or value buy and some other which is still no buy or very costly buy, or even sell at the same levels, and hence a overall analysis is must.
If your client asked you to take a sectoral call on say 'metals' about 3 months back, and you explained & resisted the clients urge, and parked the funds in liquid funds.
This was exactly asked by the client on 17th Jan, 2023, then explained and resusted the urge.
On top of it, what if the parked liquid funds have given 6% pa returns (meaning say 1.5% absolute returns roughly) and still the client asks, why only 6%.
How will you explain?
On top of it, how will you explain that this liquid money is now available as opportunity money to enter at lower levels and generate better than average returns?
How will you explain?
#financialplanning #financialplanner #financialfreedom #financialliteracy #mutualfund #couplegoal #travelplan #traveldiaries #travelgoals #wfh #wfo #cfppro
Nifty Metal Index change between 17th Jan, 2023 and 20th March, 2023. (On 17th Jan, Metal Index was 6779 and today i.e. 20th March, 2023, the metals Index is @5475. (A downside saved of about 1300 points or about 19.23% fall saved)
The gain impact is 19.23% in absolute terms PLUS 1.5% earned from parking the funds in Liquid funds and hence the tentative gain is 20.73% in just 3 months. (Is that how the value of a financial planner shown?)
Below is Nifty Metals Index as on, 20th March, 2023, Monday
Below is Nifty Metal Index as on 17th January, 2023
'Financial Planning for just married couples' - did this show yesterday with CNBC Bajar, Money Manager, a topic very close to my heart.
Do share your feedback and comment what you didn't like about it.
#financialplanning #marriedlife #justmarried #financialfreedom #financialplanner #mutualfund #cnbc #couplegoals #travel #personalfinance #cashflowmanagement
Click on Link below to watch the Live show.
I missed the data shared at end of the article when I was with friends, to back why I am confident to recommend to invest in government bond funds currently.
The Background-
We were a group of friends and it so happened that somehow we came to discussing which bank is giving high interest rates and why it is good to lock in FDs now for long term- as interest rates are currently near top and very less room of rising higher and then it should stabalise and start going down after some time. I suggested to invest in long term government bond funds and this opened a pandora's box and a superb discussion full of arguments.
Guess what, this discussion went on for 35 to 40 minutes. Here's what was covered.
To question me someone quickly googled and shared this to the group-
"Fds are currently offering better and higher interest rates than they were about a year back. In early 2022 the 1 year Fixed Deposit rate was about 5.35% and currently SBI is offering 1 year deposit rate @7.3% roughly. So in one year there is about 2% higher fixed deposit rate offered. Why should I not invest in FDs?"
Quickly another friend went to one of the most used and popular Mutual Fund comparison site and shared the below-
He said, "compare this FD rates with 10 year government bond mutual fund Investment return and average category return is just about 4% in last 1 year- my friend was laughing just about savings bank rate? and you are saying to invest in government bond funds? Even in last 3 years the average returns have been 5.2% pa"
Do you still say to invest in government bond fund offered by a mutual fund?
"Yes, I said. Imagine you locked your 1 year FD @7.3% and next month RBI increases rates by another 0.50 basis points or %. Naturally the new FD rates will rise to 7.75% roughly. Now imagine if this FDs are tradable in market. What will you do?"
"I will sell my 7.3% FD and buy 7.75% FD"- said another friend.
"And, what if now after 3 months RBI reduces the rate by 0.5%? What will have higher demand, 7.3% FD or 7.75% FD?"
"Naturally, 7.75% FD"- immediately came the reply.
"That is where the demand for 7.75% keep increasing at every rate reduction and hence the price of the same FD keeps increasing for some time. This is where interest keeps coming for same 7.75% to the buyer and capital gain happens because of price increase of that FD due to higher demand in reducing interest rate cycle"- I explained.
Now you tell me what do you think, how much interest rates can up more? What do you think can RBI increase interest rates more?, if yes, how much?
And that is where my friends said we understood this but we need data to get convinced on what you are saying.
AND that is where I started this article by saying "I missed the data I am sharing at end of this article, or else, friends would have walked out with full confidence and clarity"
So here's the back data, friends.
Here we have picked up data from 2018, January and tracked this until 31-12-2020 to see similar situation what happens and why I remain so convinced and confident.
Below is just 2 year yield curve of 10 year government bond starting 1st January 2018 until 1st January 2020.
Now look at below reference table for more clarity.
The above reference table is divided in 2 parts.
EXTREME RIGHT TABLE- Rate cycle for 3 years starting 1-1-2018 until 31-12-2020. If you see that table, the yield as on 1-1-2018 was around 7.43 (Accidently that is exactly where current 10 year G sec yield is) and by end of 2020 the yield had fell to 5.89%.
NOW, LOOK at LEFT SIDE TABLE- At the same time period, i.e. starting 1-1-2018 the NAV of SBI MAGNUM GILT Fund was 38.0079 and by the end of sample period i.e. 31-12-2020 the NAV rise to 50.4745 and the 3 year average returns on the same fund was about 10% pa. (look at the % changes in NAV Column every year period.The change in 2018 was 5.07%, in 2019 was stunning 13.36% and in 2020 was 11.43%).
This is exactly what I said when I explained with the example of FD @7.75% and it's increased demand in reducing rate cycle.
Also, please be mindful that while my friend extracted data of past 1 year returns from GILT / long term government bond funds, he was comparing it with current FD rates.
Where do you think we are currently?
How much can RBI increase more?
What will RBI do in it's next RBI Monetary policy- Increase rate, take a pause or reduce rate?
Is there chance of rate increase more or you see rate reducing coming?
Do you also now concur with my call on investing in Government Bond or G-sec or GILT Funds, offered by mutual funds? Do you agree ?
What do you need more, my friend/s?
Do Comment.
This is for private circulation only.
Any details or data or image usage in part or full from this article needs to be with prior permission of the blogger of this original article by CFP CM Viresh Patel, Founder Financial North.
Clarity and Disclaimer-
A- This is not a Investment advisory for all and may or may not suit the general reader, and that is the reason it is only for private circulation only and no further claims on basis of this article will be entertained and in no way guarantee any returns and neither it needs to be concluded that returns in past will or can be replicated.
B- SBI Magnum GILT Fund is take here for example and within Debt category there are min.16 categories and more than 40 AMCs and it may or may not suit you.It is taken only for example and representation purpose and that it in no way should be understood as a recommendation, nor any tip etc.
PS- Indian Government bond yields as on 10-3-23, (various periods)
In the last 5 years the number of Mutual Fund investors, number of mutual fund folios and amount invested in mutual funds have increased by a lot. (more than double)
A lot of you have invested thru' either direct or regular mode after consulting advisor/s.
How is your comfort and confidence in the knowledge and service of your mutual fund advisor?
Mark 2 parts and total 4 words under evaluation for you, before reaponding.
PART 1-
_Comfort (personal skill)
_Confidence (technical skill)
PART 2-
_Knowledge (understanding, alerts on changes, actions to change scheme or amount, sharing of knowledge with you)
_Service (transparency, trust, intent, reaching out, reviews and updates etc)
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Monthly Credit Card spend is @1.28 lac crs via
60% ecommerce
38% Point of Sales
as per data released by RBI of January, 23.
Total Credit cards issued stand around 8.2 crs.
HDFC is by far the largest used Credit card, in volume of transactions and value terms.
What does this mean?
In October, 22 (note diwali spend), the value was highest in a year -1.29 cr. and now 1.28 cr.
What could be the reason for such high figures?
Does inflation and rise im EMI due to interest rate increase put pressure on cashflows and has increased this Credit Card spend?
What is your observation for yourself and your dear ones?
Kirtan A Shah
Sahil Kapoor
Anshul Gupta
Ashish Singodia
Priyanka Acharya
Pravin Shetty
Divyashikha Gupta
Abhishek Kulkarni
Archy Gupta
Ruparanjan Mohapatra
Nayan Bheda
Jesse J
Ashish Jhanjee
CA Ashish M Chandak
CA. Anand Lunkar
I have also come across some, doing SIPs payments via credit cards.
#creditcards #cashflow #familybudget #expenses #financialplanning #financialfreedom #emergencyfund #financialplanner #personalfinance #mutualfund #sip
Is this a sign of on ground liquidity / cashflow mismatch for family's ?
#ecommerce #payments #data
Image Credit -
paisabazar
financial express
You must be thinking what we do for our clients?
If you are thinking of starting to invest or already #investing through multiple financial agents and advisors, but have always been thinking about are my Investments 'right', do I need some changes?
Well that's what we do -
We help our clients
1- Start Right,
2- Set Right
and
3- Keep right
while you may continue working with the same agent or advisor.
We become one point contact for all client family's on anything related to financial life, including investments, taxes, insurances, loans, banking, and most important family needs.
We work with clients irrespective of their income scale, savings or investment size.
#investment #financialplanning #financialfreedom #financialplanner #financialliteracy #personafinance
#mutualfund #professional #cashflowmanagement #retirementplanning #investmentplanning #equity #taxes #banking
If you are an avid reader and track #financialexperts (India and worldwide), you must be getting mixed signals -
_ #nasdaq should do better and value seems emerging
_ #India is the place to invest and emerging leader for decade
_ #emergingmarkets should do better
_ #fixedincome assets are place to invest in 2023 for safety and growth
_ #financialservices or #bfsi should do better on basis of credit growth
_ #gold and #china looks better from 1 to 3 year perspective
_in last 10 years #valueinvesting has outperformed
_ #recession is sure to hit and H1 of 2023 is going to experience it and from H2 of 2023 it may reverse. No economy and market can say we will not be impacted, but #India and #china should stand out.
_China should be badly hit economy, for larger part of 2023 and political unrest may carry it to next year as well
_there's a tactical #geopolitical shift, which has longterm positive impact on #eurasia
Very much mixed signals.
I am even saying what if inflation is here to stay for full 2023?
The only #solution is find your #suitability and start or continue investing accordingly.
#financialplanning #financialplanner #financialfreedom #investingforbeginners #couplegoals #mutualfund #emergingmarkets #investing #personalfinance
All the above views are from where I have read from various sources, including #linkedin experts posts, #morganstanley / #imf /#goldmansachs and similar reports.
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